The report from
The Centre for Economic Performance (mentioned in my last post) boldly states
that mental illness is curable. To support this claim it references three papers – Layard
et al (2007), Clark
(2011) and Gyani et al (2011).
Layard et al (2007) calculated the expected improvement in employment rates from CBT treatment, and estimated this to be on average about one month for each person in 2 years. They emphasise that they are not claiming huge effects and go on to give estimates of the reduction in numbers of people on benefits from the introduction of IAPT, saying that the programme will easily pay for itself. I'm not sure if they'll get the opportunity to show whether the programme has met these targets.
Layard et al (2007) calculated the expected improvement in employment rates from CBT treatment, and estimated this to be on average about one month for each person in 2 years. They emphasise that they are not claiming huge effects and go on to give estimates of the reduction in numbers of people on benefits from the introduction of IAPT, saying that the programme will easily pay for itself. I'm not sure if they'll get the opportunity to show whether the programme has met these targets.
Clark (2011) describes the national programme for IAPT
including the results from the two pilot demonstration sites. He emphasises that
the demonstration sites were not set up as randomised controlled trials. It is
therefore not possible to exclude the possibility that improvements may have
been due to natural recovery and self-fulfilling expectancy effects.
Gyani et al (2011) analyses data from the first year of the IAPT programme. They note that people can get worse in treatment as well as better. Considerable between site variability in overall recovery rate between 27 and 58% was found (median 42% - approaching target of 50%). "Recovered" does not equal symptom free. Nor is it clear that any apparent benefits can be maintained over the longer term.
In reality, this literature is insufficient to substantiate the statement about the curability of mental illness as such. As I said in my last post, I’m not wanting to undermine optimism in treatment, but we do need to be realistic about the evidence. Otherwise, scientific expertise is merely being exploited for political ends.
In reality, this literature is insufficient to substantiate the statement about the curability of mental illness as such. As I said in my last post, I’m not wanting to undermine optimism in treatment, but we do need to be realistic about the evidence. Otherwise, scientific expertise is merely being exploited for political ends.
Of course people do recover from mental illness, but this might be a difficult, slow, costly, painful and sometimes incomplete process. Promoting CBT as a panacea is no different from pharmaceutical quackery.